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                                                                                                                                                                          澳门葡京靠谱吗:大陆发展势头不变,台商回流会否纠结?

                                                                                                                                                                          2019年06月12日 09:01 来源:控健克橡胶设备有限公司

                                                                                                                                                                              香港中评社12日发表评论说,自特朗普升级贸易战,对华加征关税以来,外资撤出中国大陆时有所闻,台商回流更是热点。民进党当局喋喋不休,借机将台商回流当成政绩,将回流资金额不断喊大,有至年底将达5000亿新台币之说。

                                                                                                                                                                              文章认为,台商回流实况如何,现在还未到总结的时候。一方面,情势不断在变,包括国际形势与贸易战形势,都不断在变;另一方面,中国大陆近日刚发表的经济数据,包括外贸数据等,都胜过预期,这意味着贸易战伤不到大陆经济的筋骨,大陆发展势头保持不变,仍在快速增长。

                                                                                                                                                                              有业者说,台湾代工制造业者将一部分生产线移出大陆,说易做难。其一,台湾没有足够的土地及人力,更无法保证不缺电;其二,企业短时间内无法复制在中国大陆已有的生态体系,除了人力问题,还有供应链;其三,走时不易,以后想再进去将更难,大陆市场不是能予取予求,随意进出的。

                                                                                                                                                                              其实,不只是台商,凡想撤出中国大陆的外资,都面对相同的问题。它们的困扰还有这些:特朗普一方面宣称,中国已被摧毁,将不得不与美达成协议;一方面又说美国失去了竞争优势,在与中国的贸易战中处于不利地位。从特朗普信口开河的大嘴巴里,没人知道中美贸易战的下一步,也不知他的关税大捧还要打向哪个国家。

                                                                                                                                                                              此外,它们还需面对中国继续崛起的现实。近日与特朗普通话的美国前总统卡特预言,中国大陆有望几年内成为经济上的头号超级大国。新加坡总理李显龙5月31日在“香格里拉对话”会上说,各国必须要接受中国继续壮大的事实,中国领导人较去年更有信心。

                                                                                                                                                                              美国破坏贸易规则的行为的确给中国大陆、也包括美国自身在内的国际市场带来一些干扰,但企业最终还是会根据对经济前景的战略判断,去对投资方向作出政策选择。对台商而言,还有血缘与其他难以分开的原由。

                                                                                                                                                                              “枝枝相纠结,叶叶竞飘扬”。留守有困难,撤出有风险。回流的台商、或准备回流的台商,在撤出大陆之前,难道没有一丝丝纠结?